$75.69 · 10d
No crown is actionable by default. The page separates primary selection, setup attention, and entry timing.
screened candidates, not verified entries
no agent review assumed
entry quality, not a universal score
experimental until forward evidence matures
separate mandate · trigger-only
not automatically promoted into the shortlist
primary families · better trigger required
ULTA · Base-hit candidate · 10 sessions / Tight-risk swing · 20 sessions · needs entry review
CIBR · Tight-risk swing · 20 sessions · needs entry review
Promising small historical cohorts, not individual win odds. Original stops determine eligibility; current entry and event checks can still reject a name.
conditional tickets · no market orders
armed compression; absolute trend and separate SPY-relative trend aligned. Entry above 99.01; do not pay above 99.77. Invalidate below 95.11 (3.9% structural risk).
armed compression; absolute trend and separate SPY-relative trend aligned. Entry above 28.19; do not pay above 28.36. Invalidate below 27.46 (2.6% structural risk).
Needs an explicit review or pass reason: ARKK, BTCUSD, CORN, ETHUSD, EWJ, FDN, QQQ, QQQM, SMH, SOLUSD, VUG, XLK
Data through 2026-09-25. Attention queue, not new buy signals. Armed and released are different stages; liquidity order is not a risk-adjusted-return ranking. No live entry or cheap options implied.
EWJ · ARMED · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +2.21%
FDN · ARMED · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day -0.32%
CORN · ARMED · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +0.25%
QQQ · RELEASED_UP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +0.46% · release 4 bars ago (not a fresh entry verdict)
SMH · RELEASED_UP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +1.01% · release 4 bars ago (not a fresh entry verdict)
QQQM · RELEASED_UP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +0.46% · release 4 bars ago (not a fresh entry verdict)
VUG · RELEASED_UP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +0.54% · release 4 bars ago (not a fresh entry verdict)
ARKK · RELEASED_UP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day -1.01% · release 4 bars ago (not a fresh entry verdict)
BTCUSD · NO_COMPRESSION_SETUP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day -0.73%
ETHUSD · RELEASED_UP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day -0.23% · release 4 bars ago (not a fresh entry verdict)
SOLUSD · MISSING_OR_INVALID
XLK · NO_COMPRESSION_SETUP · rising long-term trend · above relative baseline · day +0.80%
Coverage: 272 instruments; 6 data gaps. Full checks and gaps are retained in the Brief data.
Close data through 2026-09-25
latest mentions first · winners AND losers
Price moves from the original signal reference, not trade P&L. Repeated mentions stay connected. Older timing-unverified rows use checkpoints after the dated Brief, not assumed fills. Dashes mean not mature or not verifiable. Tactical measurement ends at 60 trading sessions (~3 months); that is not a forced sale.
First 2026-09-25 · Trend rearm
$8.97 → $8.61 · -4.0% · 1 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -4.0% / -4.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-25 · CMO rebound
$181.09 → $181.34 · +0.1% · 1 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +0.1% / +0.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-25 · Nested coil at the 34EMA — early, not fired
$39.32 → $37.96 · -3.5% · 1 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -3.5% / -3.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-25 · Quiet internet ETF coil — buy location, not excitement
$292.55 → $291.61 · -0.3% · 1 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -0.3% / -0.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-25 · Energy pullback — daily coil, not a weekly launch
$48.90 → $47.05 · -3.8% · 1 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -3.8% / -3.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-24 · COIL confluence · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$432.89 → $434.15 · +0.3% · 2 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +0.3% / +0.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-24 · CMO rebound
$498.09 → $512.16 · +2.8% · 2 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +2.8% / -0.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-24 · CMO rebound
$945.82 → $959.49 · +1.4% · 2 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +1.7% / +1.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-23 · Armed squeeze · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$270.09 → $270.37 · +0.1% · 3 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +1.8% / -0.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-23 · CMO rebound
$12.29 → $11.18 · -9.0% · 3 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -6.3% / -9.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-23 · Armed squeeze
$12.21 → $11.69 · -4.3% · 3 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -4.3% / -5.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-22 · Biotech pullback reclaim — not a fresh daily squeeze · 2 mentions, clock not reset
price anchor unverified · — · — sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: — / —. Measured through —.
First 2026-09-22 · COIL confluence · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$624.20 → $618.88 · -0.8% · 4 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +1.0% / -1.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-22 · Daily squeeze released inside weekly compression
price anchor unverified · — · — sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: — / —. Measured through —.
First 2026-09-22 · CMO rebound
$90.75 → $89.02 · -1.9% · 4 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +3.5% / -2.2%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-22 · COIL confluence
$61.99 → $58.66 · -5.4% · 4 sessions
Old plan invalidated; requires a new setup. No fill is assumed.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -4.9% / -6.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-18 · CMO rebound
$57.35 → $36.94 · -35.6% · 6 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -30.7% / -36.2%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-18 · CMO rebound
$196.94 → $204.97 · +4.1% · 6 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +4.1% / -3.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-18 · Energy-grid supplier squeeze at the 34-day rail
price anchor unverified · — · — sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: — / —. Measured through —.
First 2026-09-18 · COIL confluence
$247.45 → $236.32 · -4.5% · 6 sessions
Old plan invalidated; requires a new setup. No fill is assumed.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -0.4% / -5.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-18 · Pipeline ETF pullback to the rising rail
price anchor unverified · — · — sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: — / —. Measured through —.
First 2026-09-10 · Armed squeeze · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$115.43 → $111.95 · -3.0% · 12 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +5.7% / -3.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-16 · CMO rebound · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$196.83 → $189.40 · -3.8% · 7 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -1.3% / -4.2%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-15 · COIL confluence · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$165.08 → $160.59 · -2.7% · 9 sessions
Old plan invalidated; requires a new setup. No fill is assumed.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +2.6% / -4.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-16 · Trend rearm · 3 mentions, clock not reset
$18.38 → $14.25 · -22.5% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +6.0% / -24.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-16 · Armed squeeze
$238.88 → $275.80 · +15.5% · 7 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +25.4% / +2.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-15 · Armed squeeze
$341.79 → $412.56 · +20.7% · 9 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +20.7% / +1.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-15 · CMO rebound
$12.88 → $10.91 · -15.3% · 9 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +2.9% / -15.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-15 · CMO rebound
$87.54 → $86.46 · -1.2% · 9 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +0.7% / -2.2%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-27 · Armed squeeze · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$60.87 → $44.75 · -26.5% · 20 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -2.0% / -26.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-12 · Trend rearm
$201.82 → $206.03 · +2.1% · 10 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +5.1% / +2.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-12 · CMO rebound
$83.03 → $86.62 · +4.3% · 10 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +7.8% / +2.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-12 · Trend rearm
$14.63 → $12.12 · -17.2% · 10 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -7.6% / -17.2%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-12 · Armed squeeze
$20.59 → $14.81 · -28.1% · 10 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +5.2% / -28.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-12 · CMO rebound
$377.35 → $414.61 · +9.9% · 10 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +9.9% / -0.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-11 · CMO rebound
$307.45 → $325.77 · +6.0% · 11 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +6.0% / +0.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-10 · CMO rebound
$2.04 → $1.82 · -10.8% · 12 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +2.9% / -12.2%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-10 · Trend rearm
$97.06 → $126.00 · +29.8% · 12 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +29.8% / -3.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-10 · CMO rebound
$45.14 → $42.19 · -6.5% · 12 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +1.6% / -6.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-09 · Trend rearm
$352.48 → $280.78 · -20.3% · 13 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -2.0% / -20.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-09 · Armed squeeze
$89.42 → $86.49 · -3.0% · 13 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +1.1% / -5.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-09 · Trend rearm
$81.04 → $73.99 · -8.7% · 13 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: -0.0% / -11.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-09 · CMO rebound
$74.76 → $65.57 · -12.3% · 13 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Source signal session. Best / worst close: +1.8% / -12.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-05 · Trend rearm
$124.72 → $182.83 · +46.6% · 14 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +47.5% / +0.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-05 · Armed squeeze
$81.32 → $77.46 · -4.8% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +6.4% / -5.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-05 · Armed squeeze
$34.75 → $32.13 · -7.5% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -0.1% / -9.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-05 · Armed squeeze
$288.50 → $292.84 · +1.5% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +2.1% / -5.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-05 · Trend rearm
$348.25 → $333.37 · -4.3% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -1.8% / -4.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-04 · Trend rearm
$109.29 → $98.43 · -9.9% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -5.8% / -11.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-04 · Squeeze fired
$33.65 → $26.78 · -20.4% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +2.7% / -21.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-04 · Armed squeeze
$185.25 → $157.47 · -15.0% · 14 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -5.8% / -19.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-27 · Trend rearm · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$99.44 → $84.46 · -15.1% · 20 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -1.7% / -15.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-03 · Trend rearm
$305.84 → $335.94 · +9.8% · 15 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +11.0% / +5.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-03 · Armed squeeze
$146.08 → $141.86 · -2.9% · 15 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.4% / -6.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-03 · CMO rebound
$6.74 → $7.66 · +13.7% · 15 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +47.6% / +9.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-03 · COIL confluence
$245.49 → $220.22 · -10.3% · 15 sessions
Old plan invalidated; requires a new setup. No fill is assumed.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.7% / -10.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-03 · CMO rebound
$73.46 → $69.22 · -5.8% · 15 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +3.8% / -11.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-02 · CMO rebound
$191.57 → $159.75 · -16.6% · 16 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -1.1% / -16.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-02 · Armed squeeze
$174.92 → $177.74 · +1.6% · 16 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.6% / -8.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-02 · Armed squeeze
$36.24 → $28.31 · -21.9% · 16 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +6.5% / -21.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-02 · Armed squeeze
$135.67 → $129.61 · -4.5% · 16 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.8% / -6.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-01 · Armed squeeze
$353.55 → $370.04 · +4.7% · 17 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +4.9% / -3.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-01 · Armed squeeze
$99.27 → $98.15 · -1.1% · 17 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +8.1% / -4.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-01 · CMO rebound
$233.94 → $237.18 · +1.4% · 17 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +3.0% / -2.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-01 · CMO rebound
$53.77 → $52.10 · -3.1% · 17 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +2.2% / -4.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-09-01 · Armed squeeze
$317.12 → $264.17 · -16.7% · 17 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -2.9% / -18.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-29 · Armed squeeze
$25.19 → $29.43 · +16.8% · 19 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +17.4% / -3.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-28 · Armed squeeze
$361.22 → $314.36 · -13.0% · 19 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +2.5% / -16.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-28 · CMO rebound
$289.87 → $294.14 · +1.5% · 19 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.8% / -6.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-28 · Armed squeeze
$28.16 → $31.41 · +11.5% · 19 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +34.4% / -9.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-28 · Trend rearm
$15.06 → $11.66 · -22.6% · 19 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +5.6% / -22.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-28 · Armed squeeze
$57.60 → $53.38 · -7.3% · 19 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -0.1% / -7.7%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-27 · Armed squeeze
$343.12 → $293.99 · -14.3% · 20 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.2% / -14.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-27 · CMO rebound
$68.76 → $60.97 · -11.3% · 20 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -0.2% / -11.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-27 · CMO rebound
$123.54 → $111.38 · -9.8% · 20 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.5% / -13.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-26 · Trend rearm
$66.51 → $73.69 · +10.8% · 21 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +17.7% / +3.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-26 · CMO rebound
$93.63 → $85.80 · -8.4% · 21 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.3% / -8.7%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-26 · Armed squeeze
$389.71 → $397.93 · +2.1% · 21 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +5.2% / -4.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-19 · COIL confluence · 5 mentions, clock not reset
$271.11 → $271.22 · +0.0% · 26 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +2.7% / -2.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · COIL confluence · 3 mentions, clock not reset
$352.29 → $370.44 · +5.2% · 30 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +6.7% / -4.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-25 · CMO rebound
$113.57 → $113.99 · +0.4% · 22 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.4% / -7.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-25 · CMO rebound
$394.49 → $369.20 · -6.4% · 22 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.8% / -6.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-25 · Armed squeeze
$25.99 → $16.03 · -38.3% · 22 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.4% / -38.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-22 · Trend rearm
$85.62 → $95.57 · +11.6% · 24 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +11.6% / +2.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-21 · COIL confluence
$303.97 → $273.79 · -9.9% · 24 sessions
Old plan invalidated; requires a new setup. No fill is assumed.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +2.2% / -11.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-21 · Armed squeeze
$72.28 → $72.61 · +0.5% · 24 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.5% / -0.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-21 · Armed squeeze
$128.45 → $114.07 · -11.2% · 24 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +6.5% / -12.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-21 · Trend rearm
$9.28 → $9.74 · +5.0% · 24 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +15.4% / -14.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-20 · Armed squeeze
$18.81 → $14.41 · -23.4% · 25 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -3.9% / -23.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-20 · Trend rearm
$359.76 → $374.74 · +4.2% · 25 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +9.3% / -8.7%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-20 · Armed squeeze
$205.00 → $270.00 · +31.7% · 25 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +33.6% / -1.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-20 · Trend rearm
$437.55 → $562.89 · +28.6% · 25 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +34.5% / -2.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-19 · CMO rebound
$356.55 → $316.42 · -11.3% · 26 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +8.5% / -13.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-19 · Moonshot armed
$21.70 → $16.49 · -24.0% · 26 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -9.9% / -33.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-19 · Moonshot armed
$87.90 → $65.92 · -25.0% · 26 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +1.4% / -25.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-18 · Moonshot armed · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$6.48 → $5.74 · -11.4% · 27 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +12.0% / -11.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · Armed squeeze · 2 mentions, clock not reset
$104.09 → $85.69 · -17.7% · 30 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +4.6% / -17.7%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · Trend rearm · 3 mentions, clock not reset
$42.79 → $36.17 · -15.5% · 30 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +7.9% / -15.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-18 · Moonshot armed
$14.15 → $14.24 · +0.6% · 27 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.9% / -0.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-18 · Moonshot armed
$132.67 → $128.05 · -3.5% · 27 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -3.5% / -19.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-18 · CMO rebound
$336.85 → $254.69 · -24.4% · 27 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.2% / -32.5%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-18 · CMO rebound
$61.18 → $56.83 · -7.1% · 27 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +5.3% / -7.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-14 · Moonshot armed · 3 mentions, clock not reset
$15.37 → $8.77 · -42.9% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +6.4% / -42.9%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-16 · Fresh trend
$3.80 → $2.35 · -38.2% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +21.6% / -42.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-16 · Trend rearm
$37.85 → $37.50 · -0.9% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +0.1% / -1.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-16 · Trend rearm
$14.04 → $16.46 · +17.2% · 29 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +30.9% / -1.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-16 · Trend rearm
$147.43 → $195.19 · +32.4% · 29 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +40.2% / -11.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-16 · CMO rebound
$118.39 → $110.52 · -6.7% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -0.3% / -7.6%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-14 · Trend rearm
$19.93 → $17.47 · -12.3% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +4.1% / -12.3%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-14 · CMO rebound
$112.72 → $104.82 · -7.0% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: -0.2% / -7.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-14 · Trend rearm
$159.54 → $177.25 · +11.1% · 29 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +14.8% / -1.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-14 · Trend rearm
price anchor unverified · — · — sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: — / —. Measured through —.
First 2026-08-14 · Trend rearm
$143.39 → $116.11 · -19.0% · 29 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +7.2% / -21.8%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · Armed squeeze
$330.21 → $387.18 · +17.2% · 30 sessions
Move already underway; wait for a fresh setup, not yesterday's entry.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +25.2% / +3.1%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · Armed squeeze
$58.71 → $57.21 · -2.5% · 30 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +9.4% / -4.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · Fresh trend
$28.53 → $24.96 · -12.5% · 30 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +4.9% / -28.4%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
First 2026-08-13 · CMO rebound
$7.60 → $6.38 · -16.1% · 30 sessions
Needs a current trigger; a lower price alone is not a better buy.
Legacy: checkpoints after the dated Brief; signal timing unverified. Best / worst close: +37.4% / -17.0%. Measured through 2026-09-25.
Raw payoff ranks, not buy signals or win probabilities. Daily coils and releases are separate from weekly setups. Event and entry checks still required.
DOC · DAILY_ARMED · family rank 1 · score 0.78
RDW · DAILY_ARMED · family rank 2 · score 0.75
SKE · DAILY_ARMED · family rank 3 · score 0.74
AES · DAILY_FIRED · family rank 1 · score 1.26
GSAT · DAILY_FIRED · family rank 2 · score 0.97
GEV · DAILY_FIRED · family rank 3 · score 0.91
AMZN · HTF_ARMED · family rank 1 · score 0.85
TT · HTF_ARMED · family rank 2 · score 0.83
AWK · HTF_ARMED · family rank 3 · score 0.80
EIX · HTF_FIRED · family rank 1 · score 0.84
PLD · HTF_FIRED · family rank 2 · score 0.84
ED · HTF_FIRED · family rank 3 · score 0.80
CGAU · HTF_REARMED · family rank 1 · score 0.74
FCX · HTF_REARMED · family rank 2 · score 0.73
TSLA · HTF_REARMED · family rank 3 · score 0.70
Background readings, not buy/sell signals. These labels do not set position size or change a trade's stop.
3/5 gauges reporting · 0 red · 1 yellow · partial coverage · No scored warning-color changes
Research label: Stage 2
| Reading | Value | Observation date | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY vs 50DMA | +1.3% | 2026-09-25 | — |
| SOX/SMH vs SPX RS (20d MA trend 5d) | +1.82% | 2026-09-25 | — |
| New 52w highs | — | Unavailable | — |
| IPO ETF vs 50DMA | +0.3% | 2026-09-25 | — |
| Margin debt 3-mo Δ (Phase 2) | — | Unavailable | — |
3/3 domains reporting · 0 red · 1 yellow · Credit: green / Labor: yellow / Inflation: green · No scored warning-color changes
Research label: Stage 2
| Reading | Value | Observation date | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| HY OAS | 2.80% | 2026-09-24 | — |
| Initial Claims (4-wk avg) [multi-cond] | 202,250 (p75=227k · 3mo Δ -9.1%) | 2026-09-19 | — |
| Continuing Claims (4-wk avg) [multi-cond] | 1.74M (p75=1.92M · 3mo Δ -3.2%) | 2026-09-12 | — |
| Payrolls (3-mo avg MoM, k) | +71k | 2026-08-01 | — |
| Core CPI YoY | 2.45% | 2026-08-01 | — |
| Treasury Withholding (matched 4w YoY; context) | +4.44% YoY | 2026-09-24 | Context only. Tax calendar-sensitive; supporting context, not a regime vote. |
| Indeed Job Postings (3-mo Δ) | +2.08% (idx 103.5) | 2026-09-18 | — |
| ADP Private Payrolls (3-mo avg MoM, k) | +60k | 2026-08-01 | — |
| Payroll sensitivity (BLS+ADP)/2 + fixed QCEW adjustment; context | -10k (raw avg +66k; assumed adjustment -75k) | 2026-08-01 | Context only. Fixed-adjustment scenario, not an independent jobs observation. |
| Part-time for Econ Reasons (1-month Δ, k) | -414k (level 4390k) | 2026-08-01 | — |
Reflation · 31% · transition: Stagflation 31%
Descriptive classifier output, not calibrated forecast odds. Stage history is retained for research; no demonstrated trading edge is implied by a stage number.
CMO: 56.6% positive at 10 sessions and +0.93pp beta-adjusted alpha in retrospective 2025–26 OOS. This is the only lane here with positive alpha in both recent folds, but it is not yet live-proven.
Continuation heuristic: +1.86pp alpha at 21 sessions and +7.08pp at 63 sessions for the historical top quintile. Promising, but tail-sensitive and not yet forward-proven.
Legacy MaxAvg/P(+10%) cells describe historical path payoff, not realizable alpha. XGBoost failed fold stability and is excluded from ranking. Moonshots remain experimental.
Eight quarterly statements become current TTM versus prior TTM revenue, net margin and FCF margin. Dated Piotroski/Altman may tilt rank; growth and margins remain display-only until their own PIT outcomes mature. Biotech collaboration revenue is marked as potentially lumpy.